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[Picks]· FIFA World Cup

24817d ago

Más/Menos06/13 22:00Copa Mundial de la FIFA

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Neither side has much incentive to retreat deeply and defend in extremes: historically, Morocco has never had a tradition of parking the bus completely against strong opponents — the key reason they reached the semi-finals of the 2022 World Cup was their proactive counterattacking approach, with 3-4 players usually involved in each break. That is likely to leave exploitable space behind for Brazil’s wide threats (Vinícius and Rodrygo). At the same time, Morocco will also tend to use En-Nesyri’s aerial presence and Ziyech’s long-range shooting to target Brazil’s high defensive line. As one of the tournament favorites, Brazil are more likely to take the initiative and build an advantage, based on their tactical choices in the opening rounds of past major tournaments, and the chances of them opting for a conservative, possession-based control game throughout the match are relatively low. Both teams also have set-piece scoring potential: over 30% of their goals come from dead-ball situations. Brazil have Casemiro and Marquinhos as aerial targets, while Morocco have scored from corners in 7 of their last 8 matches. Combined with the historical data for both sides, there is a strong likelihood of at least one set-piece goal in the match. The depth of both benches could also help sustain attacking threat: both teams have substitute attackers with strong finishing ability, so even after rotations from the 60th minute onward, the danger in front of goal is unlikely to drop sharply. Normally, as defensive players tire, more space opens up on the pitch, and the probability of goals in the closing stages rises. The only scenario to watch out for is if both sides spend the first 30 minutes feeling each other out, which could make the tempo a little slow. But given the attacking quality of both teams, the chance of a late surge pushing the total goals higher remains strong, while a 0-0 game or one with only a single goal is relatively unlikely.
Este análisis es solo para referencia. Apuesta responsablemente.

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