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FA Cup: Manchester City vs Liverpool Prediction & Winning Bets

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Match: FA Cup

Fixture: Manchester City vs Liverpool

Local Kick-off Time: Apr 4, 2026 12.45pm

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ODDS

CategorySelectionValue
1X211.80
1X2X3.90
1X223.90
Asian Handicap-0.51.85
Asian Handicap+0.52.00
Goals (Scored)Goals3
Goals (Scored)Over1.88
Goals (Scored)Under1.98

Prediction: Manchester City wins

As the highlight of this FA Cup round, the Asian handicap sets Manchester City at -0.75 goals. In terms of squad, Man City beat league leaders Arsenal in the EFL Cup final without Marc Guehi, and Erling Haaland had no international fixtures this week, giving City a fitness advantage.

For Liverpool, Jarell Quansah was injured during the match against Norway and is highly likely to miss this game, a huge setback for their right flank. Liverpool face PSG away in four days, so they may not go all out in the FA Cup. Unburdened Man City are more likely to win by utilizing their home advantage.

Comprehensive Prediction Analysis:

Manchester City

Man City’s season was in danger of spiralling out of control after falling nine points behind Premier League leaders Arsenal and crashing out of the Champions League to Real Madrid, but the Citizens painted Wembley in sky blue after they deservedly triumphed in the EFL Cup final.

Two second-half headers from rising star Nico O’Reilly inspired Man City to a statement 2-0 victory over Arsenal, ensuring Pep Guardiola avoids back-to-back trophyless seasons. The win also brings the Catalan’s managerial career haul to 40 major honours, a landmark total should he choose to conclude his decade-long Etihad tenure this summer.Tricky tests against Chelsea and Arsenal in the Premier League are on the horizon for Man City, but their immediate focus is on facing Liverpool this weekend as they attempt to secure their place in the FA Cup semi-finals for a record-extending eighth successive season.

Indeed, Man City boast an exceptional record in the FA Cup, as they have won 19 of their last 21 matches in the competition across the last four seasons, including their 3-1 fifth-round win at Newcastle United a month ago. Their only defeats during this period were in the 2024 and 2025 finals to Manchester United and Crystal Palace respectively.The Citizens have put together a superb 17-game winning run on home soil in the FA Cup, last losing to Middlesbrough in January 2015 (2-0). Victory over Liverpool would see them surpass Clapham Rovers’ record of 17 consecutive home wins (1873-1881) to claim the longest such streak in the competition’s history.

Date/CompetitionHomeScoreAway
2026/03/23 EFL CupArsenal0-2 (HT 0-0 FT 0-2)Manchester City
2026/03/18 UEFA Champions LeagueManchester City1-2 (HT 1-1 FT 1-2)Real Madrid
2026/03/15 Premier LeagueWest Ham United1-1 (HT 1-1 FT 1-1)Manchester City
2026/03/12 UEFA Champions LeagueReal Madrid3-0 (HT 3-0 FT 3-0)Manchester City
2026/03/08 FA CupNewcastle United1-3 (HT 1-1 FT 1-3)Manchester City
2026/03/05 Premier LeagueManchester City2-2 (HT 1-0 FT 2-2)Nottingham Forest
2026/03/01 Premier LeagueLeeds United0-1 (HT 0-1 FT 0-1)Manchester City
2026/02/22 Premier LeagueManchester City2-1 (HT 2-1 FT 2-1)Newcastle United
2026/02/14 FA CupManchester City2-0 (HT 1-0 FT 2-0)Salford City
2026/02/12 Premier LeagueManchester City3-0 (HT 3-0 FT 3-0)Fulham

Liverpool

Liverpool’s trip to Man City will mark the first game since Mohamed Salah announced that he will be leaving the club at the end of the season after nine legendary years as the Egyptian king at Anfield.

The 33-year-old, who missed the Reds’ 2-1 Premier League loss at Brighton prior to the international break due to injury, has been advised against leaving “under a cloud” by club icon Steven Gerrard, following the attacker’s public fallout with head coach Arne Slot earlier this season.Liverpool face at least 10 games across three different competitions before the season comes to an end, and while a top-five Premier League finish is a priority, progress in the FA Cup and Champions League will also carry significant weight in determining Slot’s long-term future on Merseyside.

Before taking on PSG in the first leg of their Champions League quarter-final tie next Wednesday, Liverpool will test their mettle against a Man City side who have already done the league double over them this season – victory for City would make them the second team to beat the Reds three times this term after Crystal Palace.Liverpool lost 3-0 in their last visit to the Etihad in November last year, but the eight-time FA Cup winners will take comfort from having prevailed in each of their last four away encounters with Man City in the competition (1988, 2001, 2003 and 2022).A 3-1 fifth-round win at Wolves was recorded by Liverpool last month, and victory on Saturday would see them reach the FA Cup semi-finals for just the second time in the last 11 years and for the first time since winning the competition in 2022 under Jurgen Klopp.

Date/CompetitionHomeScoreAway
2026/03/21 Premier LeagueBrighton&Hove Albion2-1 (HT 1-1 FT 2-1)Liverpool
2026/03/19 UEFA Champions LeagueLiverpool4-0 (HT 1-0 FT 4-0)Galatasaray
2026/03/16 Premier LeagueLiverpool1-1 (HT 1-0 FT 1-1)Tottenham Hotspur
2026/03/11 UEFA Champions LeagueGalatasaray1-0 (HT 1-0 FT 1-0)Liverpool
2026/03/07 FA CupWolverhampton Wanderers1-3 (HT 0-0 FT 1-3)Liverpool
2026/03/04 Premier LeagueWolverhampton Wanderers2-1 (HT 0-0 FT 2-1)Liverpool
2026/02/28 Premier LeagueLiverpool5-2 (HT 3-0 FT 5-2)West Ham United
2026/02/22 Premier LeagueNottingham Forest0-1 (HT 0-0 FT 0-1)Liverpool
2026/02/15 FA CupLiverpool3-0 (HT 1-0 FT 3-0)Brighton&Hove Albion
2026/02/12 Premier LeagueSunderland0-1 (HT 0-0 FT 0-1)Liverpool

Final Prediction:

Asian Handicap: Manchester City -0.75

European Handicap: Home Win

Predicted Scores: 1-0, 2-0, 2-1

Predicted Total Goals: 1, 2, 3

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